Iowa State vs Connecticut 9/16/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Iowa State winning 47% of simulations, and Connecticut 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Iowa State commits fewer turnovers in 50% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. Connecticut wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. James White is averaging 52 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Lyle McCombs is averaging 99 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCONN -4.5

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